Barracas Central 0-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.43
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 43%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.26/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.34
+28% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.3 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
257 Passes 244
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
24.10.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
0-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.46 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
261 Passes 350
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys nicked a narrow win over Barracas Central 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Newells Old Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Barracas Central had 45% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 55%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.46 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barracas Central and 1.00 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Newells Old Boys?

Barracas Central 0-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barracas Central win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 37%, draw 32%, Newells Old Boys 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barracas Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barracas Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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