Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.6
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
16%
5.26
X/X
15%
3.49
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.80/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
-13% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
26.5 Crosses 18.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 2.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
199 Passes 343
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-3 HT 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.93 xG 0.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
201 Passes 321
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia edged past Gimnasia La Plata 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 42% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 58%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.93 to 0.10.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 32%, draw 33%, Gimnasia La Plata 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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