Instituto Cordoba 3-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

Instituto Cordoba
3-1 HT 3-1
Independiente
📅19/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.65
X/1
8%
4.35
X/2
16%
6.41
X/X
16%
3.14
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.8
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.3pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Instituto Cordoba v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
1.27/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.4 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Independiente
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
244 Passes 266
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.09.2023 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
05.03.2023 Independiente Independiente 2-2 HT 2-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
02.02.2006 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-5 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
14.08.2005 Independiente Independiente 3-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
28.05.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ

Instituto Cordoba 3-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
3-1
AWAY Independiente
1.09 xG 0.66
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
133 Passes 339
59% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba saw off Independiente 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Instituto Cordoba made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 36% of the ball to Independiente's 64%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.09 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 2.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente?

Instituto Cordoba 3-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 35%, draw 32%, Independiente 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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