Melbourne Knights 2-1 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.03/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Altona Magic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.11 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.06.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
12.08.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
07.05.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
16.04.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights squeezed past Altona Magic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altona Magic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.40 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic?

Melbourne Knights 2-1 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 47%, draw 23%, Altona Magic 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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