Altona Magic 1-0 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.2pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 52%
-13% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.26/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.88
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.26 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
12.08.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
07.05.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
16.04.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic nicked a narrow win over Melbourne Knights 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Knights at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Altona Magic had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Altona Magic and 1.25 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Melbourne Knights?

Altona Magic 1-0 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 29%, draw 27%, Melbourne Knights 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
20 Apr 2024
06:00 Green Gully vs Port Melbourne Analysis →
07:30 Devonport City vs South Hobart Analysis →
08:00 Cooma Tigers vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:00 Manningham United Blues vs Hume City Analysis →
08:30 Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Comets Analysis →
09:30 Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United Analysis →