Swarovski Tirol 2-3 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.65
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
50%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.14
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.73
2-3 Goals
44%
2.28
4-5 Goals
21%
2.41
6+ Goals
13%
4.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.7pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
63%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.2pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 67%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.78/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.90
+43% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2-3
AWAY Lyon
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon nicked a narrow win over Swarovski Tirol 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 54% of the ball to Lyon's 46%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Lyon?

Swarovski Tirol 2-3 Lyon in the Friendlies on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 33%, draw 17%, Lyon 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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