Guingamp 2-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Concarneau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.66 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
272 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 2-3 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
16.12.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
05.03.2015 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
21.01.2014 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-1
AWAY Concarneau
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 54% of the ball to Concarneau's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guingamp and 1.25 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Concarneau?

Guingamp 2-1 Concarneau in the Friendlies on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 45%, draw 28%, Concarneau 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5
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