Concarneau 2-3 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Mar 2024

Concarneau
2-3 HT 0-1
Guingamp
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Concarneau vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.71
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.41
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
11%
6.44
X/2
18%
4.52
X/X
10%
3.48
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.28
2/X
12%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.10/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.06
-54% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.7 Crosses 17.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Concarneau vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Guingamp
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.39 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
309 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
05.03.2015 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
21.01.2014 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK

Concarneau 2-3 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
2-3
AWAY Guingamp
1.45 xG 2.21
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
500 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp edged past Concarneau 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Concarneau had 65% of the ball to Guingamp's 35%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.45 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Concarneau and 1.00 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Guingamp?

Concarneau 2-3 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 31%, draw 27%, Guingamp 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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