Riga FC 6-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-13.7pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.4pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
2.68/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.40
+6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
477 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
47.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
29.8 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.37 xG 0.60
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
506 Passes 178
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
50 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-5 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
08.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-5 HT 2-3 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
25.06.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
04.05.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
12.03.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
6-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.92 xG 0.95
77% Ball Possession 23%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
710 Passes 163
90% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside FS Jelgava 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Riga FC had 77% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 23%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.92 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Riga FC and 1.50 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Riga FC 6-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 71%, draw 18%, FS Jelgava 10%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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