Sport Huancayo 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.06/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.88
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.3 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.33 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
385 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
21.09.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
29.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.29 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
322 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Sport Huancayo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 40%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.29 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sport Huancayo and 0.33 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sport Huancayo 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 40%, draw 27%, Deportivo Garcilaso 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Huancayo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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