Dumbarton 0-4 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

Dumbarton
0-4 HT 0-2
Dunfermline Athletic
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.2
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v Dunfermline Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.72/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.07
+83% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
44% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.07.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 5-1 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
06.10.2020 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKLK
28.04.2018 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 4-0 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
06.01.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
25.11.2017 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
26.08.2017 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-4 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic swept aside Dumbarton 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dumbarton and 2.83 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Dumbarton 0-4 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 20%, draw 24%, Dunfermline Athletic 55%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5
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