Degerfors 0-3 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.48
2-3
41%
1.85
4-5
23%
3.57
6+
11%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.74
1/2
8%
24.2
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
13%
7.66
X/2
19%
4.65
X/X
14%
4.96
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.68
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.32/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.15
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
22.4 Crosses 26.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY GAIS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
214 Passes 448
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
24.02.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
07.11.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 2-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
12.08.2020 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
20.07.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
24.06.2019 GAIS GAIS 0-3 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-3
AWAY GAIS
1.67 xG 2.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
358 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS swept aside Degerfors 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Degerfors had 53% of the ball to GAIS's 47%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.67 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Degerfors and 1.00 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs GAIS?

Degerfors 0-3 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated an GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 29%, draw 28%, GAIS 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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