Östers 0-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.97
Over
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.72
2-3
37%
1.87
4-5
22%
3.4
6+
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.72 — our 32% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.24
1/2
10%
22.45
1/X
5%
17.75
X/1
12%
11.25
X/2
26%
4.07
X/X
15%
5.7
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
1.97
2/X
5%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.16/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-47% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.1
20.2 Crosses 22.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 2.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
326 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
17.02.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇK
25.02.2019 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
01.09.2013 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
22.04.2013 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
02.03.2013 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
0-2
AWAY Malmö FF
1.62 xG 1.27
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
266 Passes 536
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Östers vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF saw off Östers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Östers had 36% of the ball to Malmö FF's 64%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.62 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Östers and 1.50 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Östers vs Malmö FF?

Östers 0-2 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Östers 24%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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