Djurgarden vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Djurgarden v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals
Djurgarden vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
Elfsborg
İSÇ
1-1
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
İSÇ
2-1
HT 2-0
Elfsborg
İSÇ
Djurgarden 1-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics
Djurgarden squeezed past Elfsborg 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Djurgarden had 45% of the ball to Elfsborg's 55%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Djurgarden and 1.83 for Elfsborg.
What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Elfsborg?
Djurgarden 1-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Elfsborg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 47%, draw 27%, Elfsborg 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.