Elfsborg 4-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 May 2025

Elfsborg
4-0 HT 2-0
Djurgarden
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Elfsborg vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.55
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 33% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.06
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
18%
5.1
X/2
9%
6.82
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.8
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.47/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.20
+50% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.7 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Elfsborg vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
12.05.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
22.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-4 HT 0-3 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
04.06.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
29.08.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 2-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
09.05.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Elfsborg 4-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
4-0
AWAY Djurgarden
1.85 xG 0.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
271 Passes 544
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg swept aside Djurgarden 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 35% of the ball to Djurgarden's 65%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.85 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elfsborg and 1.17 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Djurgarden?

Elfsborg 4-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 44%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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