IK Sirius 1-2 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 May 2025

IK Sirius
1-2 HT 1-2
Norrköping
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.8
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.22
X/2
6%
7.34
X/X
9%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.8
2/2
16%
4.73
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.85/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
+24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.0 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

IK Sirius vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Norrköping
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.85 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
01.06.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 5-1 HT 3-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.03.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
12.11.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.04.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
15.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

IK Sirius 1-2 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
1-2
AWAY Norrköping
1.93 xG 1.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
391 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
52 Box Touches 16
49 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past IK Sirius 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IK Sirius at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, IK Sirius had 60% of the ball to Norrköping's 40%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 1.93 to 1.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured IK Sirius.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for IK Sirius and 0.67 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Norrköping?

IK Sirius 1-2 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 48%, draw 24%, Norrköping 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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