Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-3 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.81/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.91
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses 21.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gold Coast United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.18 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
26.05.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.02.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
13.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
07.05.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
27.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast United saw off Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gold Coast United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 1.17 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast United?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-3 Gold Coast United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 34%, draw 22%, Gold Coast United 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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