Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 53%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.17/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.17
-31% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.3 Crosses 23.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.19 xG 2.88
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
138 Passes 422
55% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
27.07.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
05.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 4-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
21.07.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
22.04.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
17.08.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II and Gold Coast Knights shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gold Coast Knights at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.17 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast Knights?

Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 28%, draw 26%, Gold Coast Knights 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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