Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR2
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama and Gremio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 64% of the ball to Gremio's 36%, shots finished 31-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Gremio?
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 46%, draw 26%, Gremio 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No went the other way.