Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR2
4-0
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Gremio 1-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio squeezed past Vasco da Gama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Gremio had 53% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 47%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.80 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Vasco da Gama?
Gremio 1-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gremio 43%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.