Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +26%
2.65/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.64
+37% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
72% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
16 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
20.10.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-2 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
5-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Septemvri Sofia 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 68% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 32%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.00 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Septemvri Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 64%, draw 21%, Septemvri Sofia 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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