Botev Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.3pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
0.68/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.74
-26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
175 · 60% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-4 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
09.05.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.02.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
17.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv and CSKA Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. CSKA Sofia carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 33% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 67%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.67 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 22%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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