Botev Plovdiv 0-4 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.68/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.32
-39% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.02.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
17.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
17.03.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-4
AWAY CSKA Sofia
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia cruised past Botev Plovdiv 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 47% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 53%, shots finished 10-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.67 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 0-4 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 32%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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