CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 17%
-30% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.63
-23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.02.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
17.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
17.03.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
3-0
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia swept aside Botev Plovdiv 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 60% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.83 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 51%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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