Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.22/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.36
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-4 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
15.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
22.10.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
14.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Ludogorets Razgrad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 42% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 58%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 2.60 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 34%, draw 25%, Ludogorets Razgrad 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5
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