Arda Kardzhali 0-4 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.95/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.55
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +66%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
218 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
15.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
22.10.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
14.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0-4
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad cruised past Arda Kardzhali 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 57% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 43%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 2.25 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Arda Kardzhali 0-4 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 23%, draw 22%, Ludogorets Razgrad 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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