Levski Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.80/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.68
-14% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
18.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
02.12.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
06.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 2-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
21.05.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
08.05.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 61% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 39%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.67 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Levski Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 59%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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