Uni. Catolica 3-0 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.89/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.49
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
19.0 Crosses 13.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cuniburo FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.04 xG 2.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
404 Passes 172
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-0
AWAY Cuniburo FC
2.02 xG 0.14
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
504 Passes 258
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica swept aside Cuniburo FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 63% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 37%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.02 to 0.14.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Cuniburo FC?

Uni. Catolica 3-0 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 49%, draw 23%, Cuniburo FC 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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