Independiente Del Valle vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Aucas
EKV1
3-0
HT 1-0
Aucas
EKVSK
Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Aucas 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 52% of the ball to Aucas's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.63 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.67 for Aucas.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Aucas?
Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 42%, draw 28%, Aucas 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.