Gangwon 2-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.17
6+ Goals
11%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.6
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
10%
6.03
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.34
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.72/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.51
+31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses 12.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
13.07.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
11.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-3 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.03.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.11.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
01.10.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
2-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
372 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon and Daejeon Citizen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gangwon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gangwon had 52% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 48%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangwon and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gangwon 2-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 43%, draw 26%, Daejeon Citizen 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gangwon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Over 2.5
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