Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.26
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.81
X/2
13%
6.61
X/X
14%
3.89
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
9%
5.32
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.62
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses 17.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gangwon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
322 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
11.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-3 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.03.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.11.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
01.10.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
07.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-0
AWAY Gangwon
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
413 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Gangwon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 65% of the ball to Gangwon's 35%, shots finished 9-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.33 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 33%, Gangwon 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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