Pohang Steelers 1-0 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 37% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.95
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.49
X/2
18%
4.96
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.28
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · X/1 at 6.49 — our 17% vs market 11.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.67/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.50
-48% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +136%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Seoul
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 418
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
11.08.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
17.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 5-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
25.05.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
13.04.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-4 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
04.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY FC Seoul
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
206 Passes 410
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers nicked a narrow win over FC Seoul 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Pohang Steelers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 37% of the ball to FC Seoul's 63%, shots finished 8-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.67 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 36%, draw 26%, FC Seoul 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Seoul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
27 Apr 2025
10:30 Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai Analysis →
10:30 Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon Analysis →