Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.61
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
19%
5.59
X/2
10%
6.06
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.09
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.51/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.16
+11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.63 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
424 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.10.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
12.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
09.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 HT 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
32% Ball Possession 68%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
205 Passes 523
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu saw off Ulsan Hyundai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 32% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 68%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.83 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 45%, draw 25%, Ulsan Hyundai 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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