Tochigi City 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.12
+62% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 21.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
95 Passes 283
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi City Tochigi City JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
1-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
80 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City and ThespaKusatsu Gunma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 50% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 50%, shots finished 3-9.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Tochigi City 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 49%, draw 24%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Over 2.5
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