Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.24/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.37
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
217 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
192 Passes 308
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
05.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
13.05.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
30.10.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
184 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano edged past Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Parceiro Nagano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 44% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 56%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.33 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 32%, draw 30%, Matsumoto Yamaga 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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