Gainare Tottori 4-3 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.49/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
314 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
07.09.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-1 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
02.03.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
24.09.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
14.05.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
10.09.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-0 HT 2-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
4-3
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori nicked a narrow win over Azul Claro Numazu 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gainare Tottori as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 52% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.83 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Gainare Tottori 4-3 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 42%, draw 27%, Azul Claro Numazu 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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