Progress / AFA Olaine 3-0 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+90% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.09.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 5-0 HT 3-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
12.05.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 HT 1-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
27.05.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine swept aside Rezekne / BJSS 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Progress / AFA Olaine as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Progress / AFA Olaine had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 1.00 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Progress / AFA Olaine 3-0 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 44%, draw 25%, Rezekne / BJSS 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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