Molde 4-1 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.63
No
38%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.83
2-3 Goals
32%
2.1
4-5 Goals
32%
2.68
6+ Goals
19%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
10%
4.19
X/2
8%
13.75
X/X
10%
7.7
2/1
8%
19.05
2/2
9%
10.2
2/X
7%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.3pp
38%
BTTS No
43%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +22%
2.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.24
+27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.7 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stromsgodset
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.01 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
499 Passes 322
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
01.04.2024 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.09.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
28.06.2023 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 3-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOK
13.05.2023 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
31.07.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
4-1
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.58 xG 0.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
657 Passes 363
93% Pass Accuracy 87%
42 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Molde vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde cruised past Stromsgodset 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Molde had 62% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 38%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.58 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Molde and 0.67 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Molde vs Stromsgodset?

Molde 4-1 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Molde 53%, draw 24%, Stromsgodset 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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