Wisla Plock 2-0 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Jul 2025

Wisla Plock
2-0 HT 1-0
Korona Kielce
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.64
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
18%
5.4
X/2
12%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
10%
4.26
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wisla Plock v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
+20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.4 Crosses 21.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
392 Passes 275
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
20.08.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
22.09.2021 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 4-3 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POLK
14.07.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 3-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
31.05.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-4 HT 1-2 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
19.10.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL

Wisla Plock 2-0 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
2-0
AWAY Korona Kielce
2.75 xG 0.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
425 Passes 211
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock saw off Korona Kielce 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 64% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 36%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.75 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.83 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?

Wisla Plock 2-0 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 42%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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