Widzew Lodz 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 27% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.52
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2
9%
8.74
X/X
9%
4.44
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.93
2/X
10%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
-22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.5 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
364 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
09.11.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
12.05.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
11.11.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
29.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.06 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
283 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz edged past Zaglebie Lubin 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 53% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.06 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.33 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 47%, draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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