Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.04
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.95
X/2
12%
6.86
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.02
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.29/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.43
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.8 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
12.05.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
11.11.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
29.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
25.06.2019 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.83 xG 1.10
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
194 Passes 394
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 37
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin nicked a narrow win over Widzew Lodz 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaglebie Lubin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 36% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 64%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.83 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.33 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz?

Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 41%, draw 24%, Widzew Lodz 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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