Radomiak Radom 2-0 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 10 May 2025

Radomiak Radom
2-0 HT 1-0
Pogon Szczecin
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.39
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
10%
6.42
X/2
12%
5.26
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.24
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.27
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
22.6 Crosses 21.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.79 xG 2.08
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
206 Passes 426
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-4 HT 0-3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
13.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.05.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
13.11.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
04.03.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL

Radomiak Radom 2-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
2-0
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.53 xG 1.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
150 Passes 353
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom beat Pogon Szczecin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Radomiak Radom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 34% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 66%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.53 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radomiak Radom and 2.33 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?

Radomiak Radom 2-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 26%, Pogon Szczecin 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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