Widzew Lodz 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
8%
7.51
X/X
13%
4.9
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
16%
5.24
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.77
-22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.9 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
11.11.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
29.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
25.06.2019 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
31.10.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
2-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.24 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
288 Passes 419
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 44
15 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz saw off Zaglebie Lubin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 42% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 58%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.24 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.67 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Widzew Lodz 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 41%, draw 29%, Zaglebie Lubin 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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