Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
7%
6.17
X/X
8%
4.19
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.49
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.49/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.7 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
322 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-0 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
08.10.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
23.04.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-0 HT 2-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
08.10.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 4-1 HT 2-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
21.05.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 3-4 HT 3-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
03.12.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-1 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
0-1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.47 xG 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
301 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze edged past Slask Wroclaw 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Slask Wroclaw at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 45% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.47 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gornik Zabrze's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 2.17 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze?

Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 45%, draw 26%, Gornik Zabrze 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
9 Nov 2024
14:15 Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk Analysis →
16:45 Cracovia Krakow vs Katowice Analysis →
19:30 Widzew Lodz vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →