Cracovia Krakow 3-4 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
14%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.51
X/2
8%
8.05
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.66
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.49/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.87
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
23.4 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Katowice
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
22.09.2015 Katowice Katowice 1-3 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
3-4
AWAY Katowice
0.91 xG 2.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 29
37 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice edged past Cracovia Krakow 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 54% of the ball to Katowice's 46%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.91 to 2.03.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Katowice?

Cracovia Krakow 3-4 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 45%, draw 28%, Katowice 27%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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