Korona Kielce 0-0 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Nov 2024

Korona Kielce
0-0 HT 0-0
Lechia Gdansk
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.04
X/2
9%
9.48
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.15
2/2
7%
7.24
2/X
8%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.48/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.92
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.0 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
239 Passes 418
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
06.08.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
01.03.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
21.09.2019 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
16.02.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
31.08.2018 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 0-0 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
0-0
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
2.05 xG 0.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce and Lechia Gdansk fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Korona Kielce at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 48% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 52%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.00 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk?

Korona Kielce 0-0 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 53%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Korona Kielce), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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