Katowice 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.41
1/2
7%
24.2
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
9%
7.48
X/2 EV+ ✓
22%
4.85
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.77
2/X
9%
13.0
Value flag · X/2 at 4.85 — our 22% vs market 16.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.26/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.96
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
23.4 Crosses 20.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
335 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL
03.08.2024 Katowice Katowice 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
0-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa nicked a narrow win over Katowice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Katowice had 45% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 55%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katowice and 1.00 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Katowice 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Katowice 31%, draw 23%, Rakow Czestochowa 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ BTTS No
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