Shinnik 0-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 Jul 2025

Shinnik
0-1 HT 0-1
Ural
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Shinnik vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shinnik v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.93/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.17
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Shinnik vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Ural
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUS1
20.07.2024 Ural Ural 2-1 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
24.06.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUK
20.09.2017 Shinnik Shinnik 3-0 HT 2-0 Ural Ural RUK
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural squeezed past Shinnik 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shinnik and 1.50 for Ural.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Ural?

Shinnik 0-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 23%, draw 30%, Ural 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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