Ural 2-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Jul 2024

Ural
2-1 HT 0-1
Shinnik
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.4pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
24.06.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUK
20.09.2017 Shinnik Shinnik 3-0 HT 2-0 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-1
AWAY Shinnik
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ural vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural edged past Shinnik 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 59% of the ball to Shinnik's 41%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ural and 1.50 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Ural vs Shinnik?

Ural 2-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ural 51%, draw 24%, Shinnik 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
20 Jul 2024
18:00 Sokol Saratov vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →
19:00 Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ Analysis →
20:00 FK Rodina Moskva vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →