Arsenal Tula 1-0 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.10/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.23
-36% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
3W-1D-0L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 2-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
21.08.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
06.11.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
19.10.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY KAMAZ
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula edged past KAMAZ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 46% of the ball to KAMAZ's 54%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.00 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 46%, draw 31%, KAMAZ 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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